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US NFP and Unemployment Rate

NFP hits 20k instead of predicted 180k – big miss.

Prior was 304K (revised to +311K)

Estimates ranged from 125K to 250K

Two month net revision +12K

Unemployment rate 3.8% vs 3.9% expected

Participation rate 63.2% vs 63.2% prior

Avg hourly earnings +0.4% vs +0.3% exp

Avg hourly earnings 3.4% y/y vs +3.3% exp

Private payrolls +25K vs +170K exp

Manufacturing +4K vs +12K exp

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